The Arkansas Razorbacks (7-3) look to extend their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Texas State Bobcats (10-1) at Bud Walton Arena. The game can be seen on SEC Network at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 22, 2018.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free Prediction
In the Bobcats’ last outing, they topped the Air Force Falcons, 67-57. Texas State’s 14.5 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Air Force, who had a rate of 24.4. Texas State was lifted by Nijal Pearson, who was the top scorer from either team with 21 points on 9-for-15 shooting.
The Razorbacks lost a tough one against the Texas Longhorns in their last contest, 73-71. Getting to the free throw line was one of Texas’ largest strengths. They made 30 trips to the line, while Arkansas went 24 times. Arkansas’ Daniel Gafford had a good performance, leading both teams in scoring with 20 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
Points could be at a premium as a pair of the country’s premier defenses face off. Arkansas currently ranks 56th in defensive efficiency (94.1) and Texas State is 20th (89.6). Ball protection could be troublesome for the Bobcats. They rank 260th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 20.4 percent), while the Razorbacks force the 58th-most turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 22.3 percent).
Gafford and Isaiah Joe have played at a high level over the last five games for Arkansas. Gafford has averaged 0 points per game. Not to be outdone, Joe has recorded 0 points a game during that span.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Texas State ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (30.4) while Arkansas ranks 219th (39.1).
The Bobcats rank 114th in three pointers allowed per game (22.0) while the Razorbacks rank 239th (26.9).
Arkansas ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.4) while Texas State ranks 120th (2.8).
The Bobcats average 17.6 assists per game, which ranks 18th in the nation. The Razorbacks rank 92nd in assists allowed per game (12.5).
Arkansas ranks 31st in steals per game (8.3) while Texas State ranks 91st (6.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Bobcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 18.6, up from 14.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Razorbacks have scored an average of 78.6 points per game (4.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (4.6 below their season average).
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