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Home » Blog » Toney’s England call-up unlikely to change World Cup outcome
SOCCER

Toney’s England call-up unlikely to change World Cup outcome

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Last updated: May 23, 2026 3:00 am
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Thomas Tuchel named Al Ahli’s Ivan Toney in his England squad for this summer’s World Cup, a selection that has reignited debate about who should travel and who should be left at home, the article notes. Toney was one of several eyebrow-raising inclusions and exclusions, with Phil Foden, Cole Palmer and Harry Maguire omitted in favour of the likes of Noni Madueke, Eberechi Eze and Dan Burn.

The piece argues that while such debates are entertaining, only about 13-16 players in a 26-man group typically determine a team’s success or failure in tournament football. Harry Kane and Declan Rice are cited as examples of those core figures, whereas Toney has played just two minutes under Tuchel to date and is therefore unlikely to be among the select group upon which England’s fate will hinge, aside from a potential role in a penalty shootout.

The analysis points out that managers usually tinker in the group stage but revert to a tried and tested set of players for knockout matches. A chart referenced in the piece shows roughly 13-16 players most heavily relied upon in decisive knockout fixtures, with names such as Jordan Pickford, Kyle Walker, John Stones, Bukayo Saka and Harry Kane among those most frequently used.

Historical context is offered to underline the point. Even after squad sizes increased following Euro 2020, the number of players featuring in at least 10 percent of a team’s knockout minutes has remained steady. The article recalls that Roy Hodgson’s 2014 squad saw 20 of 23 players reach that threshold while England were knocked out in the group stage in Brazil, and that rotation in 2018 inflated involvement figures for that squad. At Euro 2020, 19 of England’s 26 had decent involvement, while five other squad members — Sam Johnstone, Aaron Ramsdale, Ben White, Conor Coady and Ben Chilwell — did not see a minute of action.

The piece also highlights that some squad members can be selected for roles beyond on-field minutes, citing Conor Coady at Euro 2020 as an example of a player who contributed off the pitch while watching every minute of the run to the final from the substitutes’ bench. That context frames the view that Toney’s inclusion may matter less to England’s prospects than the debate around it suggests.

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