The Toronto Blue Jays will be squaring off against their division rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will be showing the matchup and the game will get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds
The Red Sox are 66-30 straight up (SU) and 58-37 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 24.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.9 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 43-50 SU this year and are 43-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.6 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this season. Red Sox games have an over/under record of 46-46-3 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 43-41-8.
Sam Gaviglio will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Gaviglio is 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.35 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox are turning to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (11-3, 3.62 ERA), who has 105 punchouts and 32 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.25. Rodriguez is 2-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA over two starts against Toronto this year.
Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.31 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 43 games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.02.
The Boston offense has put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .306/.359/.488 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is hitting .330/.392/.644 with 28 home runs, 79 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and the line for Betts stands at .357/.445/.697 with 23 homers, 51 RBIs, 78 runs and 16 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.00 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.86, along with a K/9 of 9.15.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .238/.312/.422 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Kevin Pillar have paced Toronto’s offense. Solarte is hitting .248/.305/.434 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Pillar (.248/.279/.408) has produced eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 steals.
The Blue Jays have lost 11.6 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 23.1 units and are 45-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 36 of those games, compared to 33 that went under the total.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Toronto has logged 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 21 XBH over its last five.
Toronto has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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