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Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 07/27/18

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will head west to face the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be televised on both NSC+ and RSN.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Toronto (-140) as the favorite over Chicago (+130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+105) and White Sox +1.5 runs (-125).

The Blue Jays are 46-55 SU and are 45-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.9 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 36-66 SU and 51-50 ATS. The team has lost 16.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

White Sox games have an over/under record of 46-50-5 in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 48-45-8.

Right-hander Marcus Stroman is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Stroman is 3-7 with a 5.42 ERA and 59 strikeouts. This will be his first start against Chicago this year. He made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 4.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The White Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Reynaldo Lopez (4-8, 4.13 ERA), who has 83 punchouts and 51 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Lopez is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff has yielded 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.19, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.5. The bullpen has a 4.65 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Chicago offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .217/.290/.428 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The White Sox hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is hitting .258/.321/.459 with 16 home runs, 58 RBIs and 51 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .253/.309/.391 with five homers, 42 RBIs, 35 runs and 10 steals.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.85 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.24, along with a K/9 of 9.25.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .240/.313/.420 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar, who’ve collectively launched 25 home runs. Solarte is hitting .237/.291/.419 with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs and 45 runs scored. Pillar (.247/.279/.407) is up to eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have gained 6.3 units and are 30-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 9.0 units and are 40-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve gone under.

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Toronto has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Chicago has 14 XBH over its last five.

Toronto fielders have 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Chicago over its last 10.

The Blue Jays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit 16 over their last 10.

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