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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview 07/12/18

Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

The red-hot Boston Red Sox are going for their 10th consecutive win as they play host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will showcase the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds

Toronto (+160) is entering this game as the underdog against Boston (-170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +115 for the Red Sox -1.5.

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The Red Sox are 65-29 straight up (SU) and 56-37 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 22.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 42-49 SU this year and are 43-47 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Neither side has been a strong over/under play this year. Red Sox games have a 45-45-3 over/under record so far in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 41 times, gone under 41 times and pushed on eight occasions.

J.A. Happ will get the nod for Toronto. The left-handed Happ (10-5, 4.44 ERA) has racked up 115 strikeouts in 105.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox are preparing to start lefty David Price (9-6, 4.44 ERA), who has 101 strikeouts and 34 walks to his name, as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Price is 2-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.48 ERA across two starts against Toronto this year.

Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.69, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.23 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 41 games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.38 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.90.

The Boston offense has put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .358/.445/.526 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.

The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is hitting .330/.393/.649 with 28 home runs, 79 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Benintendi is batting .301 with 14 homers, 57 RBIs, 68 runs and 17 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.99 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.95, along with a K/9 of 9.19.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .236/.310/.418 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is slashing .248/.306/.438 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 42 runs scored. Pillar is hitting .243/.275/.401 with eight homers, 33 RBIs, 40 runs and 11 steals.

The Blue Jays have lost 10.6 units and are 15-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in just two of Boston’s last seven games.

The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

Toronto has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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