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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 08/16/18

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will be taking on the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will be televising this AL matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals Odds

Vegas has listed Toronto (-130) as the favorite over Kansas City (+120). The total sits at 9 runs and gamblers can take the over for -130 and the under for +110. The game’s runline odds sit at +115 for taking the Blue Jays -1.5 runs and -135 for the Royals +1.5.

The Royals are 36-84 straight up (SU) and 54-65 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 31.7 units for moneyline bettors and 20.9 units (ATS). The Blue Jays are 55-65 SU and have gone 51-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 26.8 units ATS.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 51-61-7 in 2018. The Blue Jays have been a decent over bet with a total record of 60-51-8.

Sam Gaviglio will get the start for Toronto. The right-handed Gaviglio is 2-5 with a 4.86 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Royals will be sending righty Glenn Sparkman (0-1, 5.06 ERA) to the mound. Sparkman has 14 strikeouts and seven walks to his name, as well as a 1.63 WHIP. Sparkman did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.86 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.51, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K/9 of 9.22.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .242/.315/.424 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Justin Smoak and third baseman Yangervis Solarte continue to lead Toronto’s hitters. Smoak is hitting .257/.365/.471 with 18 home runs, 59 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Solarte has a .233 average with 17 homers, 53 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

For the home team, Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.34, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.1 K/9.

The Kansas City offense has produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .231/.314/.385 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas have led the Royals’ offense this year. Merrifield is hitting .299/.368/.418 with seven home runs, 38 RBIs, 56 runs and 26 steals, while the line for Moustakas stands at .249/.309/.468 with 20 homers, 62 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have gained 5.5 units and are 33-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 27.3 units and are 32-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Kansas City’s last seven games.

The Royals have lost five of their last six games SU.

Kansas City has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.0 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit eight over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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