Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets Free Pick 05/16/18

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will televise this interleague matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets Odds

Both teams have identical -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+140) and Mets 1.5 runs (-160).

The Mets are 20-18 SU and 16-21 ATS. The team’s lost 1.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 21-21 SU and have gone 21-20 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 0.1 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 0.5 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 17-19-1 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 17-19-5.

J.A. Happ is getting the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The left-handed Happ is 4-3 with a 4.80 ERA and 56 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets will turn to righty Zack Wheeler (2-2, 5.03 ERA) to the mound. Wheeler has 31 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.44. Wheeler did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

New York’s offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .267/.330/.419 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and left fielder Yoenis Cespedes have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is hitting .327/.373/.551 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Cespedes has produced a line of .255/.316/.474 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 18 runs.

Cabrera seemed to take a step back when hitting lefties at home last year, slashing .268/.288/.286 across 59 such plate appearances (his total season line was .280/.351/.434).

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.69 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.08 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.06, along with a K/9 of 9.24.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .231/.312/.415 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Toronto’s offensive production been led by outfielders Kevin Pillar and Curtis Granderson. Pillar is hitting .300/.341/.506 with four home runs, 17 RBIs, 25 runs and eight stolen bases, while Granderson (.265/.425/.458) has produced three homers, 13 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .212/.323/.450, Granderson performed well against righties on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .234/.353/.542 across 238 such plate appearances.

The Blue Jays have gained 1.3 units and are 11-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.1 units and are 5-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to six that’ve cashed the under.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

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Betting Notes

The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games SU.

Toronto has recorded 16.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 11 over their last 10.


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