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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free Pick 09/14/18

Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will play host to their AL East nemesis Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Pix11 is in line to broadcast the matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-260) as the favorite over Toronto (+230). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +105 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -125 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 90-56 straight up (SU) and 72-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have gone 65-81 SU this year and are 62-83 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 11.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 32.0 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 65-74-7 in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 74-62-9.

Marco Estrada is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Estrada (7-11, 5.32 ERA) has racked up 95 strikeouts in 130.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Yankees will put the ball in the right hand of Masahiro Tanaka (11-5, 3.61 ERA), who has 144 strikeouts and 32 walks as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Tanaka is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.27 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 11.4 K/9. In 60 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.14 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .210/.326/.350 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have led the charge for the Yankees’ batters this year. Andujar is hitting .299/.332/.518 with 23 home runs, 79 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Stanton is batting .264 with 33 homers, 86 RBIs and 90 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a K/9 of 8.99.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.316/.427 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is hitting .247/.355/.466 with 24 home runs, 75 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar is hitting .245/.274/.408 with 12 homers, 54 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have gained 8.1 units and are 43-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 12.9 units and are 54-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 54 which went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Toronto has logged 20 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 13 XBH over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Toronto has recorded 20.3 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games SU while the Yankees have lost three of their last four.

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