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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Preview 08/03/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will head west to Safeco Field to face the Seattle Mariners. This AL showdown gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET and you can catch it on RTNW and RSN.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Toronto (+150) is hosting this game as the underdog to Seattle (-160) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-125 for the under and +105 for the over). Runline odds sit at -145 for picking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +125 for the Mariners -1.5 runs.

The Blue Jays are 47-57 SU and are 47-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.7 units for moneyline bettors and 20.4 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 61-44 SU and 54-54 ATS. The team has gained 13.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.3 units ATS.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 51-55-2 in 2018. Toronto has been a decent over bet with a total record of 53-46-8.

The left-handed Ryan Borucki is the probable starter for the visiting Blue Jays. Borucki (0-2, 2.83 ERA) has recorded 28 strikeouts in 35 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners are turning to lefty Marco Gonzales (12-5, 3.37 ERA), who has 111 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Gonzales did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.87 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.43, along with a WHIP of 1.40.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .241/.315/.423 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and first baseman Justin Smoak have led Toronto’s offense. Solarte is hitting .235/.288/.408 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Smoak (.251/.360/.475) has produced 17 homers, 55 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.21 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .248/.295/.400 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ hitters this year. Segura is slashing .315/.345/.446 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs, 72 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line sits at .287/.306/.349 with 117 hits, 22 RBIs, 48 runs and 25 steals.

The Blue Jays have lost 14.7 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 6.1 units and are 17-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 21 which went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in just one of Toronto’s last seven games.

The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games SU while the Mariners have lost four of their last five.

Toronto has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.8 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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