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Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Preview 12/01/18

Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Raptors (19-4) will try to extend their seven-game winning streak against the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-17) at Quicken Loans Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Ohio.

The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 217.5 points with Toronto opening as a 13-point favorite.

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Prediction

In the Raptors’ last outing, they defeated the Golden State Warriors, 131-128, but they failed to cover as 9.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (259) were well over the O/U total of 223. One of Toronto’s largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 22-24 (91.7 percent), while the Warriors were 17-20 (85.0 percent). Toronto was led by Kawhi Leonard, who led the team in scoring with 37 points on 14-for-24 shooting.

The Cavaliers got blown out by the Boston Celtics in their last contest, 128-95. They failed to cover as 13-point underdogs. The total points for the game (223) came in over the projected point total of 215. Boston’s 30.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Cleveland, who had a mark of 20.5. The Celtics’ mark was above their season average of 21.9, while the Cavaliers’ was below their season average of 27.2. With 13 points and 12 rebounds, Tristan Thompson had a solid game for Cleveland.

This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Cedi Osman put up 17 points and 10 rebounds in the first game, in which the Cavaliers lost 116-104 but covered as 12.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 220 points, which was just 4.5 points above the projected point total of 215.5 points. The Raptors’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Cavaliers. Toronto had a rate of 8.2, while Cleveland posted a mark of 13.5.

Toronto comes into the game with records of 19-4 straight up (SU) and 12-11 against the spread (ATS). Of the Raptors’ 23 games, 16 have finished over the projected point total.

Meanwhile, Cleveland is 4-17 SU and 10-10 ATS. Contrary to Toronto, games involving the Cavaliers have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (60.0 percent).

Collin Sexton has averaged 19 points,5.8 rebounds over the last five games for Cleveland.

The offensive glass could be a major advantage for Cleveland in this contest. The Cavaliers rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.9 percent), while Toronto ranks 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.2 percent). Additionally, the Raptors rank first in offensive efficiency (114.0), while the Cavaliers rank 30th in defensive efficiency (112.2).

Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Toronto is 7-4 ATS on the road with 6 overs and 5 unders.

At home, Cleveland is 4-6 ATS with 6 unders and 4 overs.

Toronto is 3-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Cleveland is 1-2.

When scoring above 100 points, the Raptors are 18-4 and the Cavaliers are 4-8.

Toronto ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.7) while Cleveland ranks last (23.8).

The Raptors rank seventh in assists per game (25.5) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (19.5).

Toronto ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (52.8) while Cleveland ranks 27th (41.5).

The Raptors rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (14.3).

Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (19.1) while Cleveland ranks 24th (10.5).

The Raptors rank 15 in blocks per game (5.478260869565218) while the Cavaliers rank last (2.380952380952381).

Cleveland ranks 2 in rebounds allowed per game (41.80952380952381) while Toronto ranks 9 (43.47826086956522).

The Cavaliers rank 9 in second chance points per game (14.571428571428571) while the Raptors rank 14 in second chance points allowed per game (13.478260869565217).

Toronto averages 8.173913043478262 steals per game, which ranks 12 in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 14 in steals allowed per game (7.619047619047619).

Bettings Trends:

Over its last five outings, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs.

Cleveland is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.

The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 8.7 for the season.

During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 102.2 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (1.3 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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