The Nevada Wolfpack have been dominant this season. Although Nevada is no longer likely to get a No. 1 seed after two conference losses, the Wolfpack would probably end up on the No. 2 line if they were to win out. They are a battle-tested team with so many upperclassmen on the roster, and the Martin twins have led Nevada to new heights during their four years on campus. They nearly made it to the Elite Eight for the first time in school history last season, falling by one point to darlings Loyola-Chicago, and the goal is to at least be one of the last eight teams standing this year. The Martin twins are going to play a huge role if Nevada gets that far, and online sportsbook BetDSI has posted a prop on how they will perform against UNLV on Wednesday.
Will Caleb Martin and Cody Martin combine for 33 points or more against UNLV on Wednesday?
Yes -115
No -115
We do have a prior data point when looking at this prop. Nevada and UNLV met in Las Vegas a few weeks ago, and the Wolfpack routed the Rebels in an 87-70 win. In the victory, four Nevada players finished with at least 10 points, and the Martin twins were among them. Caleb Martin led all scorers with 26 points on 7-12 shooting, while Cody Martin went 3-7 from the floor and finished with 10 points. The two were lights out from three, combining to go 6-10 from beyond the arc to end with 36 points.
If you combine the Martin twins’ season totals, you end up a little shy of 31 points though. Caleb Martin is averaging 19.3 pints per gamer, while Cody Martin is averaging 10.7 points per game. However, Caleb Martin’s numbers have gone up over the last 12 games. He has been playing big minutes against MWC foes and is averaging 20.5 points over Nevada’s last dozen games. Meanwhile, Cody Martin has been pretty erratic with his scoring. He has not scored 10 or more points in Nevada’s last three games, and it’s hard to come up with a ballpark number for him.
UNLV’s defense has been really bad this season. The Rebels are outside of the top 200 in terms of total defense according to Ken Pomeroy, and they are going to have real trouble with the Martin twins’ size on the perimeter. They leave opposing shooters open way too often beyond the arc, and the twins have shown that they know how to bury those looks.
There is another factor to consider when betting this. Almost every team plays better at home than they do on the road, but the difference has been more pronounced with Nevada. The Wolfpack are averaging 84.1 points at home in MWC play this season, while they are averaging just 75.4 points in conference road tilts. That is a gigantic difference.
That last fact is what pushed me over the edge to bet ‘Yes’ on this prop. I see the Martin twins getting to the line often in front of a raucous home crowd, and between their free throws and three-point shooting, I believe they will get to at least 33 points here.
