The United States faces Australia in its second group match of the 2026 World Cup after a 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay. Australia arrives off a shock 2-0 win against Türkiye. The match is set for Lumen Field in Seattle at 3 p.m. ET on Fox; the winner will clinch a spot in the knockout round.
DraftKings listed the United States as the favorite at -170 on the moneyline, with a draw at +340 and Australia at +425. The spread showed USA -0.5 at -175 and Australia +0.5 at +140. The total was 2.5 with -105 on the over and -115 on the under. Odds are as of the time of publication; for the most current lines, consult DraftKings Sportsbook.
Analysts Victoria Matiash and Liz Loza reviewed wagering options for the match and highlighted two preferred bets. Loza favored a first-half goals wager, recommending OVER 1.5 goals in the opening 45 minutes at +193. Loza noted both teams appear likely to start on the front foot after convincing opening results and referenced the sides’ most recent meeting, a friendly in October, when both teams had scored before halftime and Haji Wright produced the game’s third goal in the 51st minute.
Matiash singled out a U.S. win by exactly one goal at +230. Her reasoning cites underlying numbers from the openers: the United States had 65% possession but registered only 1.42 expected goals (xG) in the 4-1 win over Paraguay, while Australia managed a low 28% possession and 1.18 xG in the 2-0 victory over Türkiye. Factoring in Australia’s defensive profile, Matiash projected a narrow U.S. victory — she specifically mentioned a 2-1 finish as likely, with 1-0 or a more open 3-2 also covering the pick.
Matiash and Loza presented their selections as part of a broader look at betting options available for the match. Fans and bettors seeking updated lines should refer to DraftKings for the latest odds.
