Offense meets defense when the Golden State Warriors (54-18) welcome the Utah Jazz (41-32) to ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on NBATV at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 25, 2018.
Utah is a 3.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 203 points.
Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
In the Jazz’s last outing, they were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 124-120. San Antonio out-rebounded Utah. The Spurs had 11 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Jazz had five and 34, respectively. Donovan Mitchell was Utah’s high scorer with 35 points on 14-for-36 shooting.
The Warriors defeated the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup, 106-94. The Warriors held the Hawks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 21.6) and had a turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 13.9). Stephen Curry was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the productive offense of Golden State takes on the stingy defense of Utah. The Warriors rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Jazz are third in defensive efficiency.
Utah comes into the game with records of 41-32 straight up (SU) and 38-35 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Jazz’s games have finished under the total.
Golden State has an outstanding 54-18 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (30-39-3 ATS). Coinciding with Utah, Warriors games have finished under the projected point total 51.4 percent of the time.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Mitchell (22.8 points, 5.6 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 1.8 steals) has been great for the Jazz while Quinn Cook (18.0 points) has made solid contributions to the Warriors.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Jazz won the most recent matchup 129-99, covering as 8-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 228 points, which was 12 points above the projected point total of 216 points. The Jazz’s 10.2 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Warriors, who had a mark of 16.8. Klay Thompson was the game’s top overall scorer with 27 points.
Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Utah is 18-19 ATS on the road with 20 overs, 16 unders and 1 push.
At home, Golden State is 15-19-2 ATS with 20 unders and 16 overs.
Utah is 28-6 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 14-4.
When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 51-12 and the Jazz are 32-12.
Utah averages 8.8 steals per game, which ranks second in the league. Golden State ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Jazz rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Warriors rank 29th (13.7).
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (20.1) while Utah ranks 24th (9.9).
The Jazz rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.7) while the Warriors rank 23rd (46.8).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.8) while Utah ranks 22nd (21.9).
The Jazz rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while the Warriors rank 16th (29.2).
Utah ranks 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.6) while Golden State ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while the Jazz rank 12th (4.7).
Utah ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while Golden State ranks seventh (42.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Utah is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 3.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 103.0 points per game (11.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.2 points per game (8.0 below their season average).
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