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Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles Free Preview 05/29/18

Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals will face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase this interleague showdown and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Week 9 Fantasy Bats to Target

Washington (-115) is favored over Baltimore (+105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +130 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are only 17-37 SU and 20-33 ATS. They’ve lost 18.2 units for moneyline bettors and 16.2 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals have gone 30-22 SU this year and are 26-25 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.9 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 24-27-2 so far in 2018. The Nationals have an over/under record of 22-27-2.

The right-handed Jeremy Hellickson is projected to start for the visiting Nationals. Hellickson is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles are going with righty Dylan Bundy (3-6, 4.45 ERA), who’s got 77 strikeouts and 20 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Bundy did not record a start against the Nationals in 2017.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.55 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.38 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

Baltimore’s hitters have produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 2.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .232/.299/.327 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Machado is hitting .322/.392/.602 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Jones has put up a line of .278/.295/.463 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs.

Machado seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home last year, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .260/.311/.473).

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 2.86 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.90 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.26, along with a K/9 of 9.67.

Nationals hitters have slashed .241/.327/.414 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and second baseman Howie Kendrick continue to lead Washington’s offense. Turner is slashing .269/.361/.418 with six home runs, 22 RBIs, 30 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Kendrick (.303/.331/.474) has produced four homers, 12 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Nationals have gained 6.5 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 14.4 units and are 13-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.

Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU.

Baltimore has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.

The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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