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Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Matchup 07/23/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Washington Nationals at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this NL matchup.

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas is listing Washington (-110) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+100). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +135 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -155 for the Brewers +1.5.

The Nationals are 49-49 SU and have gone 44-53 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 56-45 SU and 52-48 ATS. They’ve gained 9.9 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 44-53-3 in 2018. The Nationals have also been a great under bet with a total record of 39-56-2.

The southpaw Gio Gonzalez is the projected starter for the visiting Nationals. Gonzalez is 6-6 with a 3.72 ERA and 94 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 4.85 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Brewers will turn to righty Jhoulys Chacin (8-3, 3.68 ERA), who’s got 88 punchouts and 47 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Chacin made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-0 record in 2017, posting a 0-0 record with a 3.86 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.91, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.40 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .235/.323/.353 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is hitting .303/.371/.485 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs, 62 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Cain is batting .293 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 50 runs and 18 steals.

For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.05 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.61, along with a K-per-9 of 8.68.

The Nationals offense has slashed .246/.325/.405 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s hitters. Turner is slashing .266/.341/.405 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon (.287/.351/.527) is up to 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 4.8 units and are 34-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.3 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine which went under the total.

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.

The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit seven over their last 10.

Washington has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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