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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Free Preview 07/14/18

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals will be taking on their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds

Washington (-115) is entering this game as the favorite against New York (+105) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Runline odds stand at +130 for betting the Nationals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Mets +1.5.

The Mets are just 38-54 straight up (SU) and 38-52 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 19.6 units for moneyline bettors and 21.0 units (ATS). The Nationals are 47-47 SU and have gone 43-50 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 16.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 9.3 units ATS.

Mets games have an over/under record of 38-48-4 so far in 2018. Washington has also been a great under bet with a total record of 37-54-2.

Right-hander Austin Voth is getting the nod for Washington. Voth has yet to pitch in the majors this year and Washington is hoping that he can handle big-league action.

The Mets are handing the ball to righty Zack Wheeler (2-6, 4.42 ERA), who’s got 99 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Wheeler is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.01, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 37 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.25.

New York’s offense has produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .196/.274/.342 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the charge for the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is slashing .283/.333/.496 with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs and 43 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .249/.294/.386 with four homers, 22 RBIs and 33 runs.

For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.94 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.23 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 8.87.

Nationals hitters have slashed .244/.325/.403 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Washington’s hitters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who have combined to belt 26 home runs. Turner is slashing .268/.346/.406 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 55 runs and 22 stolen bases. Rendon is hitting .284/.348/.530 with 15 homers, 44 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 1.9 units and are 33-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 12.9 units and are 27-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven contests.

New York has posted 15.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.4 over its last five.

The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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