Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds
New York (+120) is the home-team underdog against Washington (-130) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +115 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -135 for the Mets +1.5.
The Nationals are 47-48 SU and are 43-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 39-54 SU and 39-52 ATS. They’ve lost 18.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 38-49-4 so far in 2018. Washington has also been a strong under bet with a total record of 37-55-2.
Jeremy Hellickson is getting the start for Washington. The right-handed Hellickson is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets will put the ball in the hands of Corey Oswalt (0-2, 6.75 ERA), who has 14 punchouts and six walks this season as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Oswalt hasn’t faced the Nationals yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.65 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 38 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.20.
New York’s hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .241/.317/.395 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .282/.334/.493 with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .249 with four homers, 23 RBIs and 33 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.68, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
The Nationals offense has slashed .244/.324/.403 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who’ve collectively belted 26 home runs. Turner is hitting .268/.345/.404 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 55 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .285/.350/.528 with 15 homers, 45 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 11.9 units and are 28-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit eight over their last 10.
New York has recorded 15.7 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
The Nationals have lost three of their last four games SU.
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