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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Matchup 07/12/18

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals will pay a visit to Flushing to face their NL East nemesis Mets at Citi Field. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (+185) as the underdog to Washington (-200). The total sits at 7 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -140 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and +120 for the Mets +1.5.

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The Mets are just 37-53 straight up (SU) and 36-52 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 19.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 23.7 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 46-46 SU and have gone 43-48 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.8 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 37-47-4 thus far in 2018. The Nationals have also been a great under bet with a total record of 36-53-2.

Right-hander Max Scherzer is projected to start for Washington. Scherzer is 11-5 with a 2.33 ERA and 177 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made four starts against the Mets in 2017, posting a 3-1 record against them with a 3.21 ERA and 36 strikeouts.

The Mets are going with lefty Steven Matz (4-6, 3.31 ERA), who’s got 81 strikeouts and 35 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Matz is 0-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA over two starts against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.91 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.27 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.75, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 8.81.

Nationals hitters have slashed .244/.324/.401 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s offense. Turner is slashing .270/.349/.407 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 55 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon has a .279 average with 13 homers, 41 RBIs and 38 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 35 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.26.

New York’s offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .145/.207/.263 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .280/.328/.485 with 16 home runs, 51 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .246/.292/.375 with four homers, 22 RBIs and 32 runs.

The Nationals have lost 15.8 units and are 10-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 12.9 units and are 25-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 27 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve gone under.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Washington has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 10 XBH over its last five.

New York has posted 14.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 11.0 over its last five.

The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit nine over their last 10.

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