Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Vegas is listing Pittsburgh (+120) as the underdog to Washington (-130). The total is sitting at 9 runs and gamblers can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. Runline odds sit at +115 for picking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -135 for the Pirates +1.5 runs.
The Nationals have gone 46-45 SU this year and are 42-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.1 units ATS. Washington’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 42-49 SU and 41-49 ATS. The team has lost 9.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.9 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pirates games have a 43-40-7 over/under record so far in 2018. The Nationals have been a great under bet with a total record of 36-52-2.
The southpaw Gio Gonzalez is getting the start for Washington. Gonzalez is 6-5 with a 3.76 ERA and 90 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 12.46 ERA and two strikeouts over 4.1 innings).
The Pirates will turn to righty Trevor Williams (6-7, 4.60 ERA), who has 68 strikeouts and 32 walks to his name as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Williams is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.78, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Nationals hitters have slashed .244/.325/.403 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been powered by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who have combined to belt 24 home runs. Turner is hitting .272/.350/.410 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 55 runs and 22 stolen bases. Rendon has a .278 average with 13 homers, 41 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.323/.372 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .309/.344/.463 with six home runs, 35 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Marte’s line sits at .282/.332/.460 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs, 47 runs and 23 stolen bases.
The Nationals have lost 1.5 units and are 32-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 8.3 units and are 9-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to eight which went under the total.
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER
The over has hit in four of Washington’s last seven games.
Pittsburgh has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit eight over their last 10.
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