The Los Angeles Clippers (3-2) square off against the Washington Wizards (1-4) at Staples Center. The game is scheduled to start at 9:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 28, 2018.
Los Angeles opened as a 4-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points.
Washington Wizards at Los Angeles Clippers Free Prediction
In the Wizards’ last matchup, they were 5-point favorites and fell to the Sacramento Kings, 116-112. The combined points for the game (228) were under the projected point total of 236.5. Sacramento out-rebounded Washington. The Kings had 14 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Wizards had five and 42, respectively. John Wall led Washington in scoring with 26 points on 9-for-20 shooting.
The Clippers dismantled the Houston Rockets in their last game, 133-113, despite being 4-point underdogs. The game’s total points (246) were well over the projected point total of 218. Los Angeles was effective at getting and making free throws. The Clippers made 35 of their 38 free throws (92.1 percent), while the Rockets were 22-25 (88.0 percent). Montrezl Harrell was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
The aggressive Los Angeles offense might be living from the free throw line in this matchup. The Clippers rank second in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.227, while Washington ranks 27th in FTA rate allowed (0.216) dating back to the 2017-18 season.
Washington holds records of 1-4 straight up (SU) and 1-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total low when the Wizards are involved, as 80.0 percent of their games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS. Contrary to Washington, Clippers games have typically finished under the total (60.0 percent).
These two teams split two games last season. The Wizards won the most recent game 100-91. The Wizards had a better effective field goal percentage (0.483 vs. 0.424) and had a better turnover percentage (16.2 vs. 16.8).
Washington Wizards vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Washington is 20-4 when they allow below 100 points, while Los Angeles is 14-2.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Wizards are 43-26 and the Clippers are 43-28.
Los Angeles ranks third in points in the paint per game (52.2) while Washington ranks 24th (42.5).
The Clippers average 13.8 second chance points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
Washington ranks fifth in assists per game (24.8) while Los Angeles ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (24.4).
The Wizards rank 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8) while the Clippers rank 29th (5.7).
Washington ranks 12th in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while Los Angeles ranks last (15.3).
The Wizards average 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Clippers rank 27th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
Washington averages 17.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
The Clippers average 44.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Wizards rank 14th in rebounds allowed per game (43.1).
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