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Week 10 Free Betting Matchup – Washington Redskins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Terrelle Pryor 2018 Fantasy Impact: New York Jets
Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Redskins (+3) are flying south to battle the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. FOX is scheduled to televise the action and this early afternoon game kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

In this Sunday NFC game, Tampa Bay has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Redskins are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Buccaneers are -140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 51.5 points, and should one squad can find paydirt early, it’ll likely create a worthwhile live betting opportunity.

The total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 51.5. Having said that, the line opened at 0 so has recently moved down to -3.

The Redskins have gained 0.7 units so far and are 5-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5. The Buccaneers have gained 0.4 units this season. The team is 3-5 ATS and owns an O/U record of 7-1.

The Redskins are 5-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Buccaneers are 3-5 SU.

The Redskins are looking to bounce back after a 38-14 defeat to Atlanta last week where Alex Smith completed 30-of-46 passes for 306 yards, as well as one score and a pick. Adrian Peterson (just 17 yards on nine rush attempts) led the running attack while Maurice Harris (10 receptions, 124 yards) and Vernon Davis (five catches, 62 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Tampa Bay just lost a 42-28 game to Carolina in Week 9. The defense let the Panthers eat up the clock by running for 179 yards on 32 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Christian McCaffrey was a force to be reckoned with, recording 79 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 17 attempts, along with 78 yards on five catches for Carolina. For Tampa Bay, Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 24-of-40 passes for 243 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. Peyton Barber (31 yards on 11 rush attempts) mounted the running attack as Adam Humphries (eight receptions, 82 yards, two TDs) and O.J. Howard (four catches, 53 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Washington’s run the ball on 45.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tampa Bay has a rush percentage of 36.5 percent. The Redskins have produced 122 rush yards per game and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bucs are logging 90 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

If 2018 numbers are any indication, then it seems like the Redskins could hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency, as their backfield has generated 4.3 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.2 YPC to opponents. The Buccaneers have recorded 3.8 yards per carry and given up 4.4 YPC to opponents.

The Redskins offense has logged 233 yards per game in the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Bucs have produced a superb 372 pass yards per contest and have 23 total pass scores.

Defensively, Washington seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 89 rush yards and 272 pass yards per game. The Tampa Bay D has given up 322.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 107.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Redskins are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.27 to opponents, while the Bucs have allowed a staggering 9.23 ANY/A.

Offensively, Smith has amassed 1,689 passing yards on the year, and has completed 64 percent of his 242 attempts with eight passing scores and three interceptions. He has a 6.29 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.68 over the last two outings.

Ryan Fitzpatrick has completed 111-of-169 passes for 1,599 yards, 15 TDs and seven INTs for Tampa Bay. His ANY/A sits at 8.51 for the year and 7.51 over his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free Betting Pick: Redskins vs. Buccaneers

SU Winner – Buccaneers, ATS Winner – Buccaneers, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Washington defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 23 times this season. Tampa Bay has recorded 18 sacks.

Both teams have lost four fumbles this year.

The Redskins offense has registered three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Buccaneers have put up 10 such plays.

The Washington defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Tampa Bay has given up three such plays.

The Washington offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Tampa Bay has created three such runs.

The Redskins defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Buccaneers have given up nine such runs.

Tampa Bay has dropped six of its last seven games SU, with a three-point win over Cleveland on October 21st representing its only victory over that span.

Washington has produced 4.9 yards per carry across its past three games and 5.4 over its last two.

Tampa Bay has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its past two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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