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Week 11 Free Betting Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Ravens are preparing to welcome their AFC North nemesis Cincinnati Bengals to M&T Bank Stadium. CBS is scheduled to have the TV rights and this early afternoon game gets underway at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

The Bengals have gained 1.0 unit so far in 2018 and are 4-5 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 6-3. The Ravens have lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-6.

The Bengals are 5-4 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against AFC North opponents. The Ravens are 4-5 SU overall and 1-3 SU against divisional foes.

The Bengals are reeling from a 51-14 loss to New Orleans last week. Andy Dalton completed 12 passes for just 153 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Joe Mixon (61 rushing yards on 11 attempts) spearheaded the ground attack while Tyler Boyd (three receptions, 65 yards) and C.J. Uzomah (three catches, 23 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

A couple of weeks ago in Week 9, Pittsburgh knocked off this Baltimore crew by a score of 23-16. The Ravens defense allowed the Steelers to run for 113 yards on 27 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. James Conner shredded the defense, putting up 107 rushing yards on 24 attempts, along with 56 yards and a score on seven catches for Pittsburgh. For Baltimore, Joe Flacco completed 23-of-37 passes for 206 yards. Alex Collins (35 rushing yards on nine attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Willie Snead IV (seven receptions, 58 yards) and Javorius Allen (five catches, eight yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Each squad sports a remarkably similar (63-37 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Bengals have run for 95 yards per game (including 85 per game against North opponents) and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Ravens are putting up 93 rushing yards per game (85 in conference) and have 11 total rush TDs.

The Bengals offense has averaged 260 yards through the air overall (247 per game against conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Ravens have recorded 284 pass yards per game (313.8 in the AFC) and have 13 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Cincinnati has allowed 141 rush yards and 323 pass yards per game. The Baltimore defense has given up 224.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 99.8 yards per game on the ground. The Ravens are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.32 to opponents, while the Bengals have allowed a 7.17 ANY/A.

Offensively, Dalton is up to 1,975 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 63 percent of his 278 attempts with 16 passing scores and 10 interceptions. Dalton has a 5.77 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.05 over the last two games.

Joe Mixon, Tyler Boyd and A.J. Green have combined to account for 500 total yards and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

Joe Flacco has completed 210-of-340 passes for 2,273 yards, 11 TDs and four INTs for Baltimore. His ANY/A stands at 6.35 for the year and 3.75 across his past two outings.

Similar to the Bengals, expect a balanced attack offensively from Baltimore this Sunday. Willie Snead IV, Alex Collins and Mark Andrews have collectively accounted for 295 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the last two outings.

Free NFL Tip: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

SU Winner – Bengals

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Baltimore D has sacked opposing QBs 28 times this year. Cincinnati has registered just 21 sacks.

Baltimore has lost five fumbles this season while Cincinnati has lost one.

The Bengals offense has registered one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Ravens have put up four such plays.

The Cincinnati defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Baltimore has given up one such play.

The Cincinnati offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Baltimore has created one such runs.

The Bengals defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ravens have given up five such runs.

The O/U for Baltimore’s last game going into it was 47. The under cashed in the team’s 23-16 defeat to Pittsburgh.

In its last three contests, Baltimore is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matches, Cincinnati is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Baltimore has dropped five of its last six games SU, with a 21-point triumph over Tennessee on October 14th representing the only win over that stretch.

The Over/Under for Cincinnati’s previous game was 53.5. The over cashed in the team’s 51-14 defeat to New Orleans.

As a team, Cincinnati has averaged 5.0 yards per rush attempt across its past three outings and 5.8 over its last two.

Baltimore has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.8 over its last two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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