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Week 13 Free Betting Pick – Arizona Cardinals vs. Green Bay Packers

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers (-15) are preparing to welcome the Arizona Cardinals to Lambeau Field. FOX has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

In this Sunday NFC game, Green Bay is tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 15 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently need to put down $1,000 in order to win $100 back on the Packers (-1000). The Cardinals are getting +600 moneyline odds. This NFC tilt should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 45.5 points.

Betting odds have shifted slightly from when they were initially posted. The opening line was -14 and the game’s O/U was originally set at 46.

The disappointing Cardinals are 5-6 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 6.5 units this season. The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-6. The Packers are down 2.3 units for moneyline bettors in 2018. They’re 4-6-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-5.

The Cardinals are 2-9 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Packers are 4-6-1 SU.

The Cardinals are looking to get back in stride after a 45-10 defeat to the Chargers in Week 12Their defense allowed the Chargers to run for 178 yards on 30 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Austin Ekeler had a productive day for the Chargers in that one with 35 rushing yards and a score on five attempts, along with 68 yards on 10 catches. Offensively, Josh Rosen completed 12 passes for just 105 yards, along with a score and a pick. David Johnson (63 yards on 17 rushes) led the ground attack in the loss while Christian Kirk (four receptions, 41 yards) and Larry Fitzgerald (two catches, 30 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Back in Week 12, Minnesota knocked off this Green Bay crew by a score of 24-17. The Packers defensive secondary allowed the Vikings to air it out for 342 yards and three touchdowns. Adam Thielen had a productive showing in the win for Minnesota, recording 125 yards and a score on eight catches. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 17-of-28 passes for 198 yards and one touchdown. Aaron Jones (72 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Davante Adams (five receptions, 69 yards, one TD) and Equanimeous St. Brown (three catches, 53 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Arizona has run the ball on 42.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has a rush percentage of 35.6 percent. The Cardinals have rushed for 77 yards per game and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Packers are totaling 106 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.

The Cards offensive scheme has averaged 175 yards through the air overall and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Packers have put up 302 pass yards per contest and have 20 total pass scores.

Defensively, Arizona has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 145 yards and throw for 242 yards per game. The Green Bay defense has given up 255.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.9 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Cards have given up an ANY/A of 6.34 to opposing QBs, while the Packers are yielding an ANY/A of 6.68.

Offensively, Rosen is up to 1,385 passing yards this year, and has completed 56 percent of his 227 attempts with seven passing scores and nine interceptions. He’s got a 3.79 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.

David Johnson, Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald have collectively accounted for 404 total yards and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

Aaron Rodgers has completed 234-of-383 passes for 2,939 yards, 18 TDs and one INT for Green Bay. His ANY/A stands at 7.38 for the year and 8.10 over his last two games.

Davante Adams (856 receiving yards, 10 receiving touchdowns this season), Aaron Jones (566 rush yards, five rush TDs, 99 receiving yards) and Equanimeous St. Brown (199 receiving yards) have combined for 505 total yards and four touchdowns over the past couple of games.

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Arizona defense has 37 sacks on the year while Green Bay has 36.

Green Bay has lost 10 fumbles in 2018 while Arizona has lost seven.

The Cardinals offense has registered three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Packers have put up 14 such plays.

The Arizona defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Green Bay has given up six such plays.

The Arizona offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Green Bay has created five such runs.

The Cardinals defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Packers have given up six such runs.

The O/U for Green Bay’s last matchup was set at 48.5. The under cashed in that 24-17 loss to Minnesota.

Over its last three games, Green Bay is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matchups, Arizona is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Arizona has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a three-point win over San Francisco on October 28th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.

Green Bay has dropped five of its last six games SU, with a 19-point win over Miami on November 11th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.

The Over/Under for Arizona’s previous game was 43. The over cashed in the team’s 45-10 loss to the Chargers.

Arizona has rushed for 3.9 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.9 over its last two.

Green Bay has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.1 over its past two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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