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Week 16 Free Pick – Washington Redskins at Tennessee Titans

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Redskins (+10) are heading south to visit the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. The opening kickoff for this crucial matchup is set for 4:30 p.m. ET and NFL Network is in line to have the TV rights.

Washington Redskins     +10         +350      ov 37
Tennessee Titans             -10          -500        un 37

Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu

In this Saturday game, Tennessee is projected as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 10 points. The Redskins are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Titans are -475. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 37 points. It looks like this game might offer some live betting scenarios.

This game’s line opened at -11. The total hasn’t moved since it opened at 37.

The Redskins have gained 0.4 units so far and are 8-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 6-8. The Titans have gained 4.8 units this season. The team is 8-6 ATS and also has an O/U record of 6-8.

The Redskins have gone 7-7 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Titans are 8-6 SU.

The Redskins just recorded a 16-13 victory over Jacksonville in Week 15. Josh Johnson completed 16 passes for only 151 yards and one touchdown. Adrian Peterson (51 yards on 19 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack. Jamison Crowder (four receptions, 46 yards) and Jeremy Sprinkle (three catches, 19 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Tennessee enters this one after just earning a 17-0 win over the Giants in Week 15. The defensive unit held its territory in the victory, limiting the Giants to only 229 passing yards and 47 rushing yards. Evan Engram was a bright spot in the defeat, posting 75 yards on eight catches for New York. For Tennessee, Marcus Mariota completed 12-of-20 passes for 88 yards. Derrick Henry (170 rushing yards on 33 attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the running game while Corey Davis (three receptions, 33 yards) and Lewis (three catches, nine yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Washington’s run the ball on 44.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 51.8 percent. The Redskins have rushed for 114 yards/game and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Titans are averaging 131 rush yards per game and have 14 total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Titans ought to own an edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their backfield has logged 4.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.3 to opponents. The Redskins have recorded 4.3 yards per carry while allowing 4.6 YPC to opponents.

The Redskins offense has averaged 217 yards through the air overall and has 15 passing scores so far. The Titans have recorded 206 pass yards per outing and have 14 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Washington has allowed opponents to run for an average of 117 yards and throw for 260 yards per game. The Tennessee defense has allowed 234.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 110.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Redskins have given up an ANY/A of 6.18 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are yielding an ANY/A of 5.95.

Offensively, Johnson has amassed 151 passing yards this season, and has completed 64 percent of his 25 attempts with one scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. Johnson’s got a 5.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.41 over the last two games.

Marcus Mariota has managed to complete 200-of-294 passes for 2,256 yards, 11 TDs and seven INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A sits at 5.80 for the year and 4.28 across his last two games.

RELATED: Week 16 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Prediction: Washington Redskins vs. Tennessee Titans

SU Winner – Titans, ATS Winner – Titans, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Notes

Washington has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.5 over its last two.

Tennessee has averaged 6.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 6.2 over its past two.

Tennessee has lost five fumbles this season while Washington has lost four.

The Redskins offense has registered five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Titans have accounted for six such plays.

The Washington defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tennessee has given up six such plays.

The Washington offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Tennessee has created eight such runs.

Both defenses have allowed six rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Redskins have given up 46 running plays of 10+ yards while the Titans have given up 37 such plays.

The Washington defense has sacked opposing QBs 40 times this season. Tennessee has registered 36 sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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