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Week 3 Free Pick: Indianapolis Colts vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 10, 2017; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Philadelphia Eagles tight end Trey Burton (88) celebrates his first half touchdown against the Los Angeles Rams with teammate wide receiver Nelson Agholor (13) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The Indianapolis Colts (+6) are traveling east to battle the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. FOX has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

In this Sunday game, Philadelphia is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 6 points. The Colts are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -230. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 48.5 points, and should one team gets out in front early, it’ll likely generate a decent betting scenario in-game.

This game’s opening line was -6. The total has not changed since being initially set at 48.5.

The Colts are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.8 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1. The Eagles have lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors in 2018. They’re 1-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Colts have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Eagles are also 1-1 SU.

The Colts are coming off a resounding 21-9 victory over Washington last week. Andrew Luck completed 21 passes for just 179 yards, two scores and two interceptions. Jordan Wilkins (61 yards on 10 rush attempts) and Marlon Mack (34 yards on 10 carries) provided the ground attack in the win while T.Y. Hilton (seven receptions, 83 yards, one TD) and Chester Rogers (three catches, 17 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Back in Week 2, Tampa Bay knocked off this Philadelphia crew by a score of 27-21. The Eagles defensive secondary allowed the Buccaneers to air it out for 402 yards and four touchdowns. DeSean Jackson put up a good outing in the win, recording 129 yards on four catches for Tampa Bay. For Philadelphia, Nick Foles completed 35-of-48 passes for 334 yards and one touchdown. Wendell Smallwood (28 rushing yards on seven attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat as Zach Ertz (11 receptions, 94 yards) and Nelson Agholor (eight catches, 88 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Each squad sports a strikingly similar (63-37 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Colts have produced 90 rush yards per game and have one score via handoffs this year. The Eagles are logging 102 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.

It appears that the Eagles ought to have the advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game, since their backfield has produced 4.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 2.9 YPC to opponents. The Colts have registered 3.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.

The Colts offense has tallied 249 yards per game through the air overall and has four passing score so far. The Eagles have produced 233 pass yards per outing and have just one pass TDs.

Defensively, Indianapolis seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 83 yards and pass for 268 yards per game. The Philadelphia defense has allowed 326.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 58.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Colts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.24 to opponents, while the Eagles have given up a 7.41 ANY/A.

Offensively, Luck has amassed 179 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 68 percent of his 31 attempts with two passing scores and two interceptions. He’s got a 3.97 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.91 over the last two games.

T.Y. Hilton, Jordan Wilkins and Ryan Grant have combined for 343 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

In the hosts’ locker room, Nick Foles has managed to complete 35-of-48 passes for 334 yards, one TD and zero INTs. Foles’ ANY/A sits at 6.69 for the season and 4.60 across his past two outings.

We also expect the Philadelphia offense to utilize a balanced attack this Sunday. Zach Ertz, Nelson Agholor and Corey Clement have combined to account for 392 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

Betting Pick: Indianapolis Colts vs. Philadelphia Eagles

SU Winner – Eagles, ATS Winner – Colts, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Philadelphia offense has lost three fumbles this season while Indianapolis has let one get away.

The Philadelphia defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks six times this year. Indianapolis has produced five sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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