in

Week 4 Free Betting Prediction – San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco 49ers (+10) are set to face off against the Los Angeles Chargers (-10) at StubHub Center. CBS will televise the action and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview

San Francisco is a significant road underdog in this game and is currently getting 10 points. The 49ers are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Chargers are -475. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 47 points. There could be multiple solid in-game betting opportunities while this matchup’s underway.

This game’s line opened at -10, while the over/under has not changed after it was set initially at 47.

The 49ers are down 1.0 unit so far and 0-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-1. The Chargers are down 1.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-0.

The 49ers have gone 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Chargers are also 1-2 SU.

The 49ers fell to Kansas City 38-27 in a Week 3 contest where Jimmy Garoppolo completed 20-of-30 passes for 251 yards and two touchdowns. Alfred Morris (67 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Matt Breida (90 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack in the loss while George Kittle (five receptions, 79 yards) and Marquise Goodwin (three catches, 30 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.

In Week 3, the Rams took care of this Los Angeles crew by a score of 35-23. The Bolts defense allowed the Rams to pass for 354 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 171 yards. Todd Gurley II shredded the defense, recording 105 rushing yards and a score on 23 attempts, along with 51 yards on five catches for Los Angeles. For Los Angeles, Philip Rivers completed 18-of-30 passes for 226 yards and two touchdowns. Melvin Gordon III (80 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Mike Williams (four receptions, 81 yards, two TDs) and Keenan Allen (three catches, 44 yards) led the receiving attack.

San Francisco has run the ball on 48.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Los Angeles has a rush percentage of 38.6 percent. The 49ers have produced 153 rush yards/game and have two scores via handoffs this year. The Bolts are totaling 124 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

If 2018 numbers are any indication, then it’s looking like the 49ers should own the advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game, since their running backs has produced 5.6 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Chargers have tallied 5.5 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.3 to opponents.

The Niners offensive scheme has logged 239 yards/contest through the air overall and has five passing TDs so far. The Bolts have put up 302 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, San Francisco has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 97 yards and pass for 302 yards per game. The Los Angeles defense has given up 285.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.3 yards per game on the ground. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.63 to opponents, while the Bolts have given up an 8.16 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Garoppolo is up to 512 yards this season, and has connected on 35-of-63 attempts with three passing scores and three interceptions. Garoppolo has a 5.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.03 over the last two games.

On the other sideline, Philip Rivers has completed 52-of-81 passes for 650 yards, five TDs and one INT. Rivers’ ANY/A sits at 8.37 for the season and 9.37 over his past two games.

Betting Pick: 49ers at Chargers

SU Winner – 49ers, ATS Winner – 49ers, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Trends

As a team, San Francisco has rushed for 6.5 yards per carry over its past two contests.

Los Angeles has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last two.

The Los Angeles offense has lost three fumbles this season while San Francisco has lost one.

Each team has produced one pass play of 40+ yards. The 49ers have have made six pass plays of 30+ yards while the Chargers have accounted for one such plays.

The San Francisco defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Los Angeles has given up three such plays.

The San Francisco offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Los Angeles has created five such runs.

The 49ers defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Chargers have given up two such runs.

Each team defense has tallied seven sacks this season.

+++++

Written by GMS Previews

2018 College Football Odds: Pittsburgh Panthers Season Win Total

College Football Free Preview – Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCF Knights

Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats

NCAA Football Free Betting Matchup: Toledo Rockets at Fresno State Bulldogs