Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
Dallas is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this Sunday game. The Jaguars are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are +130. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 40.5 points. If Jacksonville allows a score or two in the early stages, it’ll likely create a worthy in-game betting opportunity.
Sharp bettors are siding with both the Jaguars and the under. The opening line was initially set at 1.5 while the game’s total was originally 41.5.
The Jaguars are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.7 units so far in 2018. The team has posted an O/U record of 2-3. The Cowboys have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 1-3-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 1-4.
The Jaguars have gone 3-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Cowboys are 2-3 SU.
The Jaguars fell to Kansas City 30-14 in a Week 5 matchup where their D allowed the Chiefs to pass for 313 yards while rushing for 126 yards and two scores. Travis Kelce had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 100 yards on five catches. On the offense, Blake Bortles completed only 33 passes on 61 attempts for 430 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions. T.J. Yeldon (53 yards on 10 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Yeldon (eight receptions, 69 yards, one TD) and Niles Paul (seven catches, 65 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Dallas narrowly lost a 19-16 game to Houston a week ago. The team’s defensive secondary let the Texans air it out for 375 yards. DeAndre Hopkins had a solid outing for Houston, posting 151 yards on nine catches. For Dallas, Dak Prescott completed 18-of-29 passes for 208 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott (54 rushing yards on 20 attempts) mounted the running attack while Elliott (seven receptions, 30 yards) and Geoff Swaim (three catches, 55 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Jacksonville’s run the ball on 36.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Dallas has an overall rush percentage of 47.4 percent. The Jaguars have run for 111 yards per game and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cowboys are totaling 136 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Cowboys may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 5.2 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Jaguars have ran for 4.5 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.
The Jags offensive scheme has logged 305 yards/contest in the air overall and has eight passing TDs so far. The Cowboys have recorded 192 pass yards per game and have five total pass scores.
Jacksonville appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 101 yards and throw for 209 yards per game. The Dallas D has allowed 262.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.00 to opponents, while the Cowboys have allowed a 6.94 ANY/A.
Offensively, Bortles has put up 1,137 passing yards this season. He’s completed 58 percent of his 173 attempts with six passing scores and six interceptions. He has a 5.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.78 over the last two outings.
In the hosts’ locker room, Dak Prescott has connected on 72-of-117 passes for 706 yards, three TDs and four INTs. Prescott’s ANY/A stands at a very poor 3.92 for the year and 6.48 across his last two games.
Free NFL Tip: Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys
SU Winner – Jaguars, ATS Winner – Jaguars, O/U – Over
The Jaguars offense has created two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cowboys have accounted for three such plays.
The Jacksonville defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Dallas has given up three such plays.
The Jacksonville offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Dallas has created two such runs.
The Jaguars defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while the Cowboys have given up two such runs.
The Dallas defense has recorded 15 sacks on the year while Jacksonville has 11.
As a team, Jacksonville has produced 4.48571428571429 yards per carry across its last three contests and 4.5 over its last two.
Dallas has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.4 over its last two.
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