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Week 6 Free Pick – San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco 49ers (+10) are set to take on the Green Bay Packers (-10) at Lambeau Field. This Monday Night game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and ESPN is scheduled to televise the action.

San Francisco 49ers         +10         +310       ov 46½
Green Bay Packers
          -10          -440        un 46½

Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu

San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

In this early-week NFC matchup, Green Bay is getting picked as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. The 49ers are also receiving +310 moneyline odds while the Packers are -440. Multiple good live betting possibilities may present themselves during this game, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points.

This game’s opening line was -9, while the over/under hasn’t moved since it opened at 46.5.

The underwhelming 49ers have lost 3.5 units so far in 2018 and are 1-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 4-1. The Packers are down 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and also own an O/U record of 4-1.

The 49ers are 1-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Packers are 2-2-1 SU.

The 49ers are looking to get back on track after a 28-18 defeat to Arizona in Week 5. The defensive unit did its part in the loss, limiting the Cardinals to just 170 passing yards and 56 yards on the ground. Christian Kirk posted a productive day for the Cardinals in that one with 85 yards and a score on three catches. On the offense, C.J. Beathard completed 34-of-54 passes for 349 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Alfred Morris (only 61 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and Matt Breida (56 yards on eight carries) led the running attack while Trent Taylor (seven receptions, 61 yards, one TD) and Kyle Juszczyk (six catches, 75 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Green Bay just fell 31-23 to Detroit in Week 5. The team’s allowed the Lions to pass for 183 yards and rush for 94 more. Kenny Golladay had a productive outing, recording 98 yards on four catches for Detroit. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 32-of-52 passes for 442 yards and three touchdowns. Aaron Jones (40 yards on seven rush attempts) handled the running game as Davante Adams (nine receptions, 140 yards, one TD) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (seven catches, 68 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the loss.

San Francisco has run the ball on 43.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has an overall rush percentage of 33.9 percent. The 49ers have produced 136 rush yards per game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Packers are putting up 101 rush yards per game and have just one rushing TD.

Based on the early season results, it appears that the 49ers ought to hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has logged 5.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Packers have registered 4.6 yards per carry and allowed 4.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Niners offense has tallied 273 yards per contest through the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Packers have put up 325 pass yards per outing and have 10 total pass TD.

San Francisco has let opponents run for an average of 95 yards and throw for 265 yards per game. The Green Bay defense has allowed 230.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 105.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Packers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.75 to opponents, while the 49ers have allowed a 7.32 ANY/A.

Offensively, Beathard is up to 349 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 34-of-54 attempts with two passing scores and two interceptions. Beathard’s got a 4.31 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.08 over the last two outings.

In the home locker room, Aaron Rodgers has completed 109-of-168 passes for 1,274 yards, nine TDs and zero INTs. Rodgers’ ANY/A sits at 7.49 for the year and 7.55 across his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 6 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free NFL Tip: San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers

SU Winner – Packers, ATS Winner – Packers, O/U – Under

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The 49ers offense has created three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Packers have accounted for five such plays.

The San Francisco defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Green Bay has given up four such plays.

The San Francisco offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Green Bay has created one such runs.

Both teams have allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The 49ers have given up 12 running plays of 10+ yards while the Packers have given up 10 such plays.

The Green Bay defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 16 times this season. San Francisco has registered just nine sacks.

As a team, San Francisco has produced 4.77380952380952 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.1 over its last two.

Green Bay has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.6 over its last two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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