The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to their NL Central nemesis Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and WGN will be televising the matchup.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (+110) is coming into this one as the underdog to Chicago (-120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +125 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -145 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 40-27 SU and 37-29 ATS. They’ve gained 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Cubs are 38-26 SU and have gone 32-31 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 2.6 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 26-38-2 so far in 2018. Cubs games have gone under 36 times, gone over 26 times and pushed on one occasion.
Mike Montgomery will get the start for the Cubbies. The left-handed Montgomery is 2-1 with a 3.56 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 27.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (5-1, 3.58 ERA, 1.25 WHIP), who’s got 57 strikeouts and 30 walks this season. Chacin hasn’t faced the Cubs yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 3.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.68, a WHIP of 1.15 and a K/9 of 10.4. In 28 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.55.
Milwaukee’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .269/.332/.478 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .307/.377/.482 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs, 43 runs and seven stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .283 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 39 runs and 12 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.52 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.69, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
The Cubs offense has slashed .259/.342/.418 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Chicago’s offense has been powered by third baseman Kris Bryant and left fielder Albert Almora Jr.. Bryant is slashing .281/.391/.481 with eight home runs, 29 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Almora Jr. (.316/.367/.432) is up to two homers, 17 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 2.9 units and are 24-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.7 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Cubs have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
Milwaukee has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.2 over its last five.
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