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Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Betting Preview 07/24/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. WGN will be showing this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 58-41 straight up (SU) and 51-47 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.5 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 55-46 SU and have gone 51-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Cubs games have had an over/under record of 48-49-1 so far in 2018. Diamondbacks games have gone under 49 times, gone over 46 times and pushed on five instances.

The right-handed Clay Buchholz is projected to start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Buchholz is 2-1 with a 2.56 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Cubs are putting the ball in the hands of righty Kyle Hendricks (6-8, 3.99 ERA), who’s got 87 strikeouts and 32 walks, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Hendricks did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.

Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.29 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 2.97, along with a WHIP of 1.27.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .231/.312/.394 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta, who’ve collectively blasted 38 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .276/.381/.525 with 22 home runs, 53 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Peralta has a .287 average with 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 3.30 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Chicago offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .288/.399/.380 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Cubs’ offense has been led by second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr.. Baez is hitting .293/.326/.553 with 19 home runs, 74 RBIs, 63 runs and 19 steals, while Almora Jr.’s line is .321/.359/.434 with four homers, 29 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 1.0 units and are 33-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 5.7 units and are 37-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 37 which went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in zero of Chicago’s last seven games.

Chicago has recorded 26.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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