The Boston Red Sox will be facing off against their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be airing the matchup.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+170) is coming into this one as the underdog to Boston (-180) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Red Sox -1.5 runs (-125) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+105).
The Red Sox have gone 71-31 SU this year and are 61-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 24.8 units for moneyline bettors and 20.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 28-73 SU and 40-60 ATS. They’ve lost 40.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 40-56-4 in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 48-50-3.
Drew Pomeranz will get the nod for Boston. The southpaw Pomeranz is 1-3 with a 6.81 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are going with Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09 ERA), who has 24 strikeouts and nine walks, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Ramirez is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 6.23 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.30 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 40 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.87.
Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.292/.443 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones. Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs, 48 runs and eight steals, while Jones has produced a line of .277/.302/.423 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.63 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.34, along with a K/9 of 9.74.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .270/.340/.457 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Boston’s offensive production has been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have combined to blast 52 home runs. Martinez is slashing .321/.386/.629 with 29 home runs, 82 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .350/.437/.663 with 23 homers, 51 RBIs, 80 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Orioles have lost 6.4 units and are 17-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Boston has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Baltimore has 20 XBH over its last five.
The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.
Baltimore has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 11 over their last 10.
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