Archie Bradley (2-2, 5.28 ERA) and Alex Wood (3-2, 3.50 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (23-26) and the Atlanta Braves (25-25) at Chase Field. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 1 and can be seen on SPSO and FSN-AZ.
Bradley pitched 3.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering six runs, striking out three and walking three in a 6-4 defeat to the Cardinals. Paul Goldschmidt (.354, 39 Rs, 15 HRs, 43 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Wood is 0-1 with a 2.00 ERA when pitching against the Diamondbacks. He is up against a good Arizona offense which is hitting .266 this season. Freddie Freeman (.289, 29 Rs, 7 HRs, 26 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 1 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Arizona is a narrow -110 favorite at home against Atlanta. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +53 and a record as the favorite of 6-7. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 4.7 runs per game. The Diamondbacks lead the NL in hits with an impressive 9.5 per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 45 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 16-20 record and an overall money line of +259. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-5 record, and a 5-5 record SU. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.7 per game.
The Diamondbacks have a 5-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Wood takes the mound. Bradley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 22-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
The Diamondbacks managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Braves who are coming in with an 8-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 4-19. The Diamondbacks have a 4-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 31 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 13th with 49.
Arizona ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.52 per game this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 11th with 8.22.
Ranking 24th, Atlanta is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.676). Arizona ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .732.
When the Braves allow at least one home run, they are 8-19, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 12-21 when allowing at least one homer.
