The Arizona Diamondbacks are paying a visit to Wrigley Field to play the Chicago Cubs. This NL matchup will begin at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 58-40 straight up (SU) and 50-47 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Diamondbacks are 54-46 SU and have gone 50-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 3.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.7 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither squad has positioned itself as an obvious over/under bet this season. Chicago games have a 47-49-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 46-48-5.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin is projected to start for Arizona. Corbin (6-4, 3.16 ERA) has recorded 149 punchouts in 122.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he did make two starts against the Cubs in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record against them with a 6.52 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Cubs are turning to righty Luke Farrell (3-3, 3.86 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Farrell did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.
Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.26 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 2.99, along with a K/9 of 7.74.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .231/.312/.394 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Arizona’s hitters have been paced by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who’ve collectively swatted 37 home runs. Peralta is hitting .288/.348/.503 with 16 home runs, 53 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Goldschmidt has a .274 average with 21 homers, 52 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.35 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
Chicago’s offense is putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .317/.427/.437 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. have led the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is slashing .291/.324/.554 with 19 home runs, 74 RBIs, 63 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Almora Jr.’s line is .321/.359/.436 with four homers, 29 RBIs and 49 runs.
The Diamondbacks have lost 2.0 units and are 32-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 8.3 units and are 14-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 12 that went under.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Arizona has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 11 XBH over its last five.
Arizona has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 10 over their last 10.
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