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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Indians Free Pick 07/23/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates will make a road trip to Cleveland to play the Indians at Progressive Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be showing this interleague matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Pittsburgh (+230) is hosting this one as the underdog to Cleveland (-260) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +105 for picking the Pirates +1.5 runs and -125 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 54-44 straight up (SU) and 47-50 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.2 units for moneyline bettors and 7.9 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Pirates are 51-49 SU and have gone 48-51 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.7 units ATS.

Cleveland games have a 52-41-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 47-45-7.

The right-handed Trevor Williams is the probable starter for Pittsburgh. Williams is 7-7 with a 4.36 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Indians are turning to righty Corey Kluber (12-5, 2.76 ERA), who has 132 strikeouts and 17 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 0.91. Kluber did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.

Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.26 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.69 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 10.06.

The Pirates offense has slashed .254/.322/.416 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .315/.347/.509 with 11 home runs, 42 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Marte has a .287 average with 15 homers, 49 RBIs, 54 runs and 25 steals.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.34 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

Cleveland’s offense is putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 7.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .304/.376/.522 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led the Indians’ batters this year. Lindor is slashing .293/.370/.563 with 25 home runs, 63 RBIs, 86 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Ramirez’s line is .304/.404/.637 with 30 homers, 72 RBIs, 70 runs and 20 stolen bases.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Indians Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Pittsburgh has logged 28 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 22 XBH over its last five.

The Pirates have won 11 of their last 12 games SU.

Pittsburgh has posted 26.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 32.0 over its last five.

The Pirates have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 15 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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