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St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Free Preview 07/23/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will head east to square off against their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Midwest is in line to broadcast the action. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Cincinnati (-130) as the favorite over St. Louis (+120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over nine runs and +105 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -175 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +155 for the Reds -1.5.

The Cardinals have gone 50-49 SU this year and are 48-50 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in all seven of them. The Reds, on the other hand, are 43-56 SU and 58-40 ATS. The team’s lost 3.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 6.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.

Reds games have an over/under record of 52-42-4 so far in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 46-48-4.

Daniel Poncedeleon will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. Poncedeleon has yet to pitch in the majors this season and St. Louis is hoping that he fares decently against MLB hitters.

The Reds will turn to righty Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.49 ERA), who has 96 punchouts and 35 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Castillo is 0-2 with 15 strikeouts and a 5.63 ERA over three starts against St. Louis this year.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.31 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.22 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 48 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.03.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .247/.321/.316 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ batters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .319/.369/.510 with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .296/.341/.396 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 17 steals.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.49 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .247/.321/.406 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

St. Louis’ offense has been led by left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez, who have combined to belt 23 home runs. Ozuna is slashing .265/.309/.376 with 10 home runs, 51 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Martinez is hitting .295/.361/.471 with 13 homers, 56 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 5.8 units and are 35-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in zero of St. Louis’ last seven games.

St. Louis fielders have committed six errors over their last five games, compared to three errors for Cincinnati over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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