The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to their NL East foe Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. FOX Sports South will televise the action and the game gets underway at 3:05 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Phillies are 79-82 straight up (SU) and 71-89 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.7 units for moneyline bettors and 30.9 units (ATS). The Braves are 90-71 SU and have gone 82-77 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 22.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 74-80-6 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 77-76-6.
The right-handed Kevin Gausman is the probable starter for Atlanta. Gausman is 10-10 with a 3.93 ERA and 142 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are handing the ball to Ranger Suarez (1-1, 6.00 ERA), who’s got six strikeouts and four walks, as well as a 2.00 WHIP. Suarez hasn’t faced the Braves yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.12 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 75 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.58.
Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .196/.302/.316 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is slashing .253/.357/.358 with 14 home runs, 59 RBIs, 90 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Herrera is hitting .255 with 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 64 runs.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.50 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.18, along with a K-per-9 of 8.95.
Braves hitters have slashed .257/.327/.419 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis, who collectively have blasted 37 home runs. Freeman is slashing .310/.387/.506 with 23 home runs, 98 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .298/.367/.441 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Atlanta has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has 13 XBH over its last five.
Each team has swatted six home runs over its last 10 outings.
Philadelphia has posted 14.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 14.6 over its last five.
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