Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas has listed Atlanta (-195) as the favorite over Baltimore (+182). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -120 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +100 for the Braves -1.5.
The Orioles are 21-52 SU and are 26-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 29.2 units for moneyline bettors and 25.4 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 43-30 SU and 41-31 ATS. They’ve gained 17.7 units for moneyline bettors and 9.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 34-35-3 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a good under bet with a total record of 29-41-2.
The right-handed Alex Cobb is projected to start for Baltimore. Cobb (2-9, 7.14 ERA) has recorded 43 punchouts in 62 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves will turn to lefty Sean Newcomb (8-2, 2.70 ERA) to the mound. Newcomb has 81 strikeouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.18. Newcomb did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.
Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.34 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
Atlanta’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .233/.275/.442 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .332/.420/.579 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs, 47 runs and six stolen bases, while Markakis is hitting .323 with eight homers, 44 RBIs and 44 runs.
For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.29 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.51.
The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.294/.379 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .304/.369/.554 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Jones (.292/.316/.454) has produced 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 7.3 units and are 10-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 13.9 units and are 29-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 25 which went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Baltimore has tallied 22 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 20 XBH over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
Baltimore has averaged 18.4 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
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