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Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 05/22/18

Rays vs White Sox
Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox are set to host the Baltimore Orioles at Guaranteed Rate Field. NBC Sports Chicago will be showing this AL matchup and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog to Baltimore (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +120 for the Orioles -1.5 runs and -140 for the White Sox +1.5.

The White Sox are 13-31 SU and 22-21 ATS. They’ve lost 14.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.5 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Orioles are 15-32 SU and have gone 18-28 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 17.2 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 11.4 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-5 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Neither squad has been a strong over/under play this season. Chicago games have an over/under record of 20-21-2 so far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 21-23-2.

The right-handed Kevin Gausman will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Gausman is 3-3 with a 3.88 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of James Shields (1-4, 4.88 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who’s got 36 strikeouts and 25 walks. Shields did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.73 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Chicago offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.328/.380 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The White Sox batters have been led by right fielder Trayce Thompson and first baseman Jose Abreu. Thompson is slashing .117/.145/.300 with seven hits, three RBIs and nine runs scored, while Abreu is hitting .304 with eight homers, 26 RBIs and 24 runs.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.58 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.23, along with a WHIP of 1.58 and a K/9 of 8.21.

The Orioles offense has slashed .233/.297/.400 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini have led Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .343/.420/.663 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Mancini is hitting .253/.333/.402 with six homers, 16 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .227/.264/.387 across 254 plate appearances, Machado seemed to have a little trouble hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).

The Orioles have lost 12.4 units and are 11-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 9.8 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 17 that went under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Orioles have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit six over their last 10.

Baltimore has recorded 21.7 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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