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Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals Free Pick 07/04/18

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will be facing off against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. This interleague showdown will begin at 11:05 a.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the action.

Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Washington (+115) as the underdog to Boston (-125). The total sits at 9 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +120 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -140 for the Nationals +1.5.

The Nationals are 42-42 straight up (SU) and 40-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.9 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox are 58-29 SU and have gone 49-37 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 15.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.7 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Nationals games have had an over/under record of 32-49-2 so far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 40-43-3.

The southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. Rodriguez is 9-3 with a 4.11 ERA and 94 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals are going with righty Erick Fedde (1-3, 6.00 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.63 WHIP. Fedde did not record a start against the Red Sox in 2017.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.82 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.51 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, along with a K/9 of 9.52.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .266/.334/.457 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi, who’ve collectively belted 39 home runs. Martinez is slashing .325/.391/.640 with 26 home runs, 71 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Benintendi has a .279 average with 13 homers, 53 RBIs, 58 runs and 16 stolen bases.

For the home team, Washington’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 3.73 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.81 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .286/.372/.526 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .272/.353/.405 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs, 48 runs and 22 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line sits at .289/.354/.530 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 35 runs.

The Red Sox have gained 16.1 units and are 38-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 14.7 units and are 9-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to 14 which went under the total.

Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in just two of Washington’s last seven games.

The Nationals have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.

Washington has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.

The Red Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 15 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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