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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup 05/30/18

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will be squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be televising this NL showdown.

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Cincinnati (+185) as the underdog to Arizona (-200). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -120 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +100 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Reds are only 19-37 SU and have gone 29-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 28-26 SU and 24-29 ATS. They’ve gained 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 6.0 units ATS.

Diamondbacks games have a 23-28-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-30-2.

Sal Romano will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Romano is 2-6 with a 5.89 ERA and 39 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 13.50 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Patrick Corbin (5-1, 2.47 ERA), who has 88 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a 0.89 WHIP. Corbin made two starts against the Reds in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 2.02 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.73 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.56.

The Reds offense has slashed .244/.323/.378 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .345/.379/.553 with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .287 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

For the home team, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.86, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.46, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.0.

Arizona’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .200/.273/.363 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielders David Peralta and A.J. Pollock have led the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Peralta is slashing .257/.327/.417 with seven home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Pollock’s line is .293/.349/.620 with 11 homers, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine steals.

The Reds have lost 1.9 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 5.3 units and are 13-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Reds have lost four of their last five games SU.

Arizona has recorded 14.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.8 over its last five.

The Reds have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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