The Atlanta Braves are squaring off against the New York Mets at SunTrust Park. SportsNet New York will be showing the matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
New York (-125) is entering this one as the favorite over Atlanta (+115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Mets -1.5 runs (+120) and Braves +1.5 runs (-140).
The Mets are 26-26 SU and have gone 24-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.0 units ATS. New York is 3-3 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 32-22 SU and 30-22 ATS. The team has gained 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 24-25-3 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 22-27-1.
Jason Vargas is getting the start for the Mets. The southpaw Vargas is 1-3 with a 10.62 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 11.57 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Julio Teheran (4-2, 4.20 ERA, 1.23 WHIP), who has 51 strikeouts and 27 walks. Teheran is 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.61, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 34 games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.92.
The Atlanta offense has put up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .294/.375/.497 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ hitters this year. Markakis is slashing .338/.402/.509 with seven home runs, 38 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Freeman is batting .332 with nine homers, 40 RBIs, 35 runs and five steals.
Freeman didn’t do as well batting against lefties at home in 2017, slashing .222/.275/.397 over 69 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .307/.403/.586).
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.16 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.74 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.33, along with a K-per-9 of 8.98.
Mets hitters have slashed .243/.321/.394 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .315/.353/.550 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Rosario (.259/.287/.373) has produced three homers, 18 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 1.9 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
New York has recorded 22.8 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.6 over its last five.
The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
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