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Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview 09/17/18

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds are heading west to play their division rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising the matchup and the game will get going at 7:40 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-175) is favored against Cincinnati (+165) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Reds +1.5 runs (-135) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+115).

The Brewers are 85-65 straight up (SU) and 77-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 16.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds are 64-86 SU and have gone 85-64 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.0 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 7.5 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Brewers games have had an over/under record of 71-74-4 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-68-5.

Anthony DeSclafani will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed DeSclafani is 7-5 with a 4.80 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.54 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).

The Brewers are sending lefty Wade Miley (4-2, 2.23 ERA) to the mound. Miley has 45 punchouts and 25 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Miley is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.20, along with a K/9 of 7.93.

Reds hitters have slashed .258/.334/.408 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .318/.365/.499 with 22 home runs, 88 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Peraza has a .293 average with 12 homers, 54 RBIs, 82 runs and 23 stolen bases.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 67 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.05.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .226/.291/.409 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .313/.381/.556 with 30 home runs, 89 RBIs, 101 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Cain’s line is .311/.401/.427 with 10 homers, 36 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 stolen bases.

The Reds have gained 5.0 units and are 28-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 17.0 units and are 58-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve cashed the under.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Cincinnati defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.

The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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