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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Free Preview 09/17/18

Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals are making a road trip to SunTrust Park to face the Atlanta Braves. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will televise this NL matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (-135) is the favorite against St. Louis (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Cardinals +1.5 runs (-170) and Braves -1.5 runs (+150).

The Cardinals have gone 82-68 SU this year and are 77-72 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, gaining 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 83-66 SU and 76-71 ATS. They’ve gained 20.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.2 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 69-72-6 in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 69-74-6.

The right-handed Miles Mikolas is projected to start for St. Louis. Mikolas (15-4, 2.99 ERA) has recorded 126 strikeouts in 180.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with a 1.42 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves are handing the ball to righty Mike Foltynewicz (11-9, 2.66 ERA), who’s got 186 punchouts and 61 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.10. Foltynewicz is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.37, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 8.15.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .249/.323/.410 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez continue to lead St. Louis’ hitters. Ozuna is slashing .281/.322/.438 with 22 home runs, 83 RBIs and 65 runs scored. Martinez is hitting .301 with 16 homers, 80 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.53 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .242/.328/.376 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Braves’ batters have been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .307/.373/.457 with 14 home runs, 91 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and Freeman’s line is .304/.384/.494 with 21 homers, 87 RBIs and 90 runs.

The Cardinals have lost 1.1 units and are 55-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 21.6 units and are 58-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, as opposed to 52 which went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

St. Louis has recorded seven extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 14 XBH over its last five.

St. Louis has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 11 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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