The Washington Nationals are traveling south to face off against their divisional nemesis Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas has listed Washington (-145) as the favorite over Miami (+135). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +100 for taking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -120 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Nationals have gone 76-74 SU this year and are 70-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 23.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.6 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 58-91 SU and 76-72 ATS. The team’s lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units ATS.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 74-69-5 in 2018. Washington has been a decent under bet with a total record of 68-78-3.
Erick Fedde is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Fedde is 2-3 with a 5.12 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Trevor Richards (3-9, 4.85 ERA), who’s got 107 punchouts and 50 walks as well as a 1.46 WHIP. Richards is 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.86 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.
Miami’s pitchers have yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.43, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 5.47 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 68 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.42.
Miami’s hitters have put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .201/.264/.354 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is hitting .280/.330/.399 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .270/.353/.395 with 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 80 runs.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.89 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.90, along with a K-per-9 of 8.45.
The Nationals offense has slashed .252/.334/.416 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Washington’s offense has been powered by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who’ve collectively launched 37 home runs. The speedy Turner is slashing .267/.337/.403 with 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, 92 runs and 39 stolen bases, while Rendon (.300/.366/.511) is up to 20 homers, 75 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.0 units and are 55-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 55 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in four of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 15.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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