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Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Free Preview 08/06/18

Week 9 Fantasy Bats to Target
Dale Zanine - USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds are paying a visit to Citi Field to square off against the New York Mets. SportsNet New York will showcase this NL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Odds

New York (-165) is favored over Cincinnati (+155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -140 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +120 for the Mets -1.5.

The Mets are 45-63 straight up (SU) and 48-59 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 20.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.6 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Reds have gone 48-62 SU this year and are 64-47 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 5.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 45-57-5 in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 58-49-4.

Right-hander Homer Bailey will get the start for Cincinnati. Bailey is 1-8 with a 5.87 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against New York this year.

The Mets are putting the ball in the hands of righty Noah Syndergaard (6-2, 2.98 ERA), who’s got 87 strikeouts and 16 walks, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Syndergaard hasn’t faced the Reds yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.47 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.14, along with a K-per-9 of 7.89.

Reds hitters have slashed .257/.339/.403 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza, who collectively have swatted 23 home runs. Gennett is hitting .311/.361/.498 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Peraza has a .282 average with six homers, 38 RBIs, 56 runs and 17 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The New York hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .200/.247/.350 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .235/.277/.356 with four homers, 28 RBIs, 40 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Reds have lost 6.3 units and are 46-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 13.4 units and are 35-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 33 of those games, compared to 41 which went under the total.

Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in just two of Cincinnati’s last seven contests.

Cincinnati has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.

The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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