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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview 08/06/18

Braves vs Marlins
Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will pay a visit to Marlins Park to face the Miami Marlins. Fox Sports Midwest will be showing this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers are listing St. Louis (-145) as the favorite over Miami (+135). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +100 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -120 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Marlins are 58-54 against the spread (ATS), but just 46-66 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 1.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 9.1 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Cardinals are 57-54 SU and have gone 55-56 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.2 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Miami games have a 58-52-2 over/under record in 2018. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 53-54-4.

Luke Weaver is getting the nod for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Weaver is 6-9 with a 4.75 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will be sending righty Dan Straily (4-5, 4.35 ERA) to the mound. Straily has 80 punchouts and 46 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Straily only made one start against the Cardinals in 2017 (0-0, 1.29 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.61 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .209/.254/.337 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have paced the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is slashing .289/.335/.403 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .284/.366/.420 with nine homers, 52 RBIs and 63 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.58 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.41, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .249/.324/.405 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

St. Louis’ offensive production has been fueled by left fielder Marcell Ozuna and third baseman Matt Carpenter, who have combined to swat 41 home runs. Ozuna is slashing .265/.310/.389 with 13 home runs, 59 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Carpenter is hitting .283/.396/.591 with 28 homers, 59 RBIs and 73 runs scored.

The Marlins have gained 3.7 units and are 40-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

St. Louis has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has 11 XBH over its last five.

The Cardinals have won three of their last four games SU.

St. Louis has posted 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.8 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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