The St. Louis Cardinals will play host to their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium. The game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will broadcast the action.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Vegas is listing Cincinnati (+200) as the underdog to St. Louis (-220). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. The game’s current runline odds stand at -110 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and -110 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs.
The Cardinals are 75-59 straight up (SU) and 70-63 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, gaining 4.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.8 units (ATS). St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds are 57-77 SU and have gone 75-58 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 7.2 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 3.9 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Cardinals games have a 61-66-6 over/under record in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 69-60-4.
The right-handed Homer Bailey is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Bailey is 1-12 with a 6.17 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 3.72 ERA against St. Louis this year (three starts).
The Cardinals will send Austin Gomber (4-0, 2.79 ERA) to the mound. Gomber has 42 strikeouts and 24 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Gomber is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.33 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 64 games against NL Central opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.38 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.23.
The St. Louis offense has put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.311/.425 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Cardinals’ batters have been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is hitting .311/.369/.475 with 16 home runs, 77 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Ozuna is hitting .275 with 16 homers, 69 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.24, along with a K/9 of 7.98.
The Reds offense has slashed .258/.336/.406 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been powered by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .313/.361/.494 with 19 home runs, 79 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Peraza is hitting .288/.329/.404 with nine homers, 44 RBIs, 71 runs and 20 steals.
The Cardinals have lost 2.5 units and are 48-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 51 that’ve gone under against righty starters.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Cincinnati has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. St. Louis has 18 XBH over its last five.
The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
St. Louis has recorded 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.
The Reds have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Cardinals have won three of their last four.
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