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New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick 08/31/18

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are playing host to the New York Mets at AT&T Park. SportsNet New York will showcase this NL matchup and the game gets going at 10:15 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants Odds

Vegas has placed matching moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -125 and the under for +105. Runline odds stand at +140 for picking the Mets -1.5 runs and -160 for the Giants +1.5.

The Mets are 59-74 SU and have gone 63-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 67-68 SU and 75-60 ATS. The team has gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.6 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 59-71-5 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-67-6.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is the probable starter for the visiting Mets. Wheeler is 9-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 150 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are putting the ball in the left hand of Andrew Suarez (5-9, 4.42 ERA, 1.32 WHIP), who’s got 108 punchouts and 34 walks. Suarez has yet to face the Mets this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 3.59 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .182/.269/.294 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford have led the Giants’ batters this year. McCutchen is hitting .255/.357/.415 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 steals, while Crawford is batting .260 with 12 homers, 49 RBIs and 55 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.83 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.91, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 8.29.

Mets hitters have slashed .236/.315/.389 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. The speedy Rosario is slashing .249/.290/.372 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Cabrera (.277/.329/.488) has produced 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 8.3 units and are 16-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 2.1 units and are 46-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve cashed the under.

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in six of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit seven over their last 10.

The New York defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for San Francisco over its last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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