The Cincinnati Reds are traveling west to Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. This NL matchup will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona.
Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas is listing Arizona (-150) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+140). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -155 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +135 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.
The Diamondbacks are 26-26 SU and 23-28 ATS. The team has gained 2.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 6.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Reds, on the other hand, are 19-35 SU and have gone 29-24 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.7 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS.
Diamondbacks games have a 22-27-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent under bet with a total record of 22-29-2.
Homer Bailey will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Bailey is 1-6 with a 6.21 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.35 ERA and five strikeouts over 6.2 innings).
The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the hands of righty Matt Koch (2-3, 3.77 ERA), who has 25 punchouts and 12 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Koch did not pitch in the majors last season.
Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.79 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.56, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 8.1.
The Arizona hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 2.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .157/.237/.268 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders David Peralta and A.J. Pollock have led the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Peralta is hitting .262/.333/.426 with seven home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Pollock’s line sits at .293/.349/.620 with 11 homers, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.59 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.02, along with a WHIP of 1.56.
Reds hitters have slashed .241/.321/.377 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Gennett is slashing .340/.376/.558 with 10 home runs, 37 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Votto is slashing .285/.407/.430 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 8.8 units and are 21-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 5.1 units and are 12-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Arizona’s last seven games.
The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.
Cincinnati has recorded 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
The Reds have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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