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Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers Free Preview 07/31/18

Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will make a road trip to Detroit to play the Tigers at Comerica Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio is in line to broadcast this interleague showdown.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+105) as the underdog to Detroit (-115). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. The game’s runline odds stand at -200 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +170 for the Tigers -1.5 runs.

The Reds are 47-58 SU and have gone 62-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.2 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 7.0 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 45-61 SU and 55-52 ATS. They’ve lost 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Tigers games have had an over/under record of 43-60-4 in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-46-4.

Right-hander Homer Bailey is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Bailey is 1-7 with a 6.29 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers are sending lefty Matthew Boyd (5-9, 4.53 ERA) to the hill. Boyd has 100 punchouts and 38 walks to his name, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Boyd is 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.13, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K-per-9 of 7.91.

Reds hitters have slashed .258/.341/.404 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza, who have combined to drive in 100 runs. Gennett is slashing .317/.368/.503 with 16 home runs, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored. Peraza (.293/.339/.395) is up to five homers, 35 RBIs, 55 runs and 17 stolen bases.

For the home team, Detroit’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.38 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.

The Detroit offense has put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .232/.291/.369 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ offense has been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .294/.347/.500 with 15 home runs, 57 RBIs and 57 runs scored, and Iglesias has produced a line of .266/.308/.387 with four homers, 41 RBIs, 33 runs and 13 steals.

The Reds have gained 2.0 units and are 16-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 9.8 units and are 36-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 29 of those games, compared to 46 which went under the total.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in only two of Detroit’s last seven games.

Cincinnati has posted 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 10 home runs over their last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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